2015 totals for Russian are in. 415 guns in 10 months extrapolates to ~500 guns for the entire year.
Of the 415 I counted, the average sale price was ~$560. They broke down like this:
- 349 Tulas @ ~$560 avg. sale price.
- 16 Izhevsks @ ~$810 avg. sale price.
- 50 Unknown arsenals @ ~$445 avg. sale price.
The major takeaway I see is: IF YOU HAVE SUCH A POOR PRESENTATION IN YOUR AUCTION WHERE THE BUYER CAN'T EVEN TELL WHAT THE ARSENAL IS, EXPECT TO LOSE ~$115 ON AVG!
Breaking things down a bit farther we see:
52 total "as-issued" guns at an avg. of ~$775 ea. This represents a premium of ~$215 over your typical SKS45.
Of those,
- 48 were Tulas @ ~$765 ea.
- 4 were Izhevsks @ ~$885 ea.
In the current condition category we see the following break down:
- 1 of the 415 (0.2%) was in excellent current condition averaging $510 (someone made the buy of the century there).
- 44 of the 415 (10.6%) were in VG condition averaging ~$840.
- 274 of the 415 (66.0%) were in good condition averaging ~$550.
- 80 of the 415 (19.3%) were in fair condition (think Sino-Banian) averaging ~$435.
- 16 of the 415 (3.9%) had such poor auctions that I couldn't tell what condition they were in. These averaged ~$530.
(http://i1352.photobucket.com/albums/q647/jelucer/Auction_images/2015/2015_Russian_final.jpg~original)
Looking at the graph, I was surprised to see the avg. Russian sale price has a negative slope! -$1.78 per month to be precise with a very good linear fit. Being curious, I broke out the as-issued gun average out by themselves, and the ~$215 avg. premium is pretty evident.
(http://i1352.photobucket.com/albums/q647/jelucer/Auction_images/2015/2015_Russian_final_chart.jpg~original)